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1 Oct 2025 - 18:15 | 104 Views | 0 Likes

“SEO is Dead” is the New “Oil Runs Out in 5 Years” — A Marketing Fool

6 min read

Every few years, someone publishes a bold headline: “SEO is dead.” It grabs attention. It spreads on social media. It sparks debate.

But the claim is misleading — just like the repeated warnings in past decades that “oil will run out in 5 years.”

That old narrative turned out to be wrong, or at least far too simplistic. In the same way, proclaiming SEO’s demise is a marketing stunt, not a serious forecast.

Why “SEO is Dead” Echoes That Same Fable

Let’s compare the two narratives side by side and see why they share key weaknesses.

Feature“SEO Is Dead” Narrative“Oil Runs Out Soon” Narrative
SimplicitySEO is declared “dead” in a single strokeOil will run out in a fixed short timeframe
Shock / clickbait appealYes — dramatic, viralYes — urgent, fear-based
Lack of nuanceIgnores variation across niches, contexts, and techniquesIgnores regional differences, new extraction methods, demand shifts
Fails with timeNew strategies replace old ones; SEO still mattersNew reserves and technologies keep oil flowing
Useful for selling somethingOften the proclaimer has a consulting service or “new SEO” to sellPredictors often funded by energy or political interests

Just as past energy prophets sold books or programs, marketers today may use “SEO is dead” to pitch a new “replacement” solution — one they control or benefit from.

Study Case : Tempo.co, One of News Portals in Indonesia

Tempo.co, one of the biggest news portals in Indonesia occur positive traffic growth in 2025. Tempo don’t experience negative effect from Google AI Overview, ChatGPT, and other AI tools.

Data from Similarweb shows that Tempo is the only news portals whose traffic in June-August 2025 vs 2024 is positive. The other 9 news portal occurs negative growth of traffic.

Top 10 Indonesia News Portal Rank from Similar Web (June-August 2025)
Top 10 Indonesia News Portal Rank from Similar Web (June-August 2025)

If we see the data carefully, Detik and Kompas, 2 biggest news portals in Indonesia experience negative growth traffic. Even, Tribunnews almost lost half of their traffic in the same period last year.

Tempo prove that SEO is not dead. SEO is just evolving. SEO adapts with AI tools like ChatGPT, Gemini, and other AI tools.

One of the strongest key of Tempo is strengthening the social signals. Social signals in this case mean the distribution of Tempo article content is massive either in Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, and Youtube. Not just distribution, but also branding and originality contents that make Tempo grow.

Bocor Alus, the most awaited show from Tempo, give very impactful effect to Tempo traffic. Bocor Alus generate new unique top brand keyword for Tempo, which mean the article about Bocor Alus in their Youtube podcast can be read by the users repeatedly in the news portal.

From Tempo case, we can see that SEO is not dead. SEO is evolving. We need to adapt and understand that SEO is not just backlink or keyword spam. SEO is about building trust and authorities, just like what Google always state in every Google core update.

The History of “SEO Is Dead” Claims

The declaration “SEO is dead” is hardly new. It has resurfaced repeatedly, often when Google updates its algorithms or when a new technology (like AI or voice search) is hyped. Some marketers enjoy the shock value and media attention of bold statements. (seo2.blog)

For instance:

  • Matt Cutts (formerly of Google) and other Google figures have often intervened in the past to clarify: SEO adapts, it does not vanish. (seo2.blog)
  • Agencies like Newfangled have published pieces showing how SEO’s nature has changed, not died. (Newfangled)

So when someone declares SEO dead, it’s rarely a fresh insight — it’s more like a recycled headline dressed up for clicks.

Why the Claim Resurfaces

There are several motives or triggers:

  1. Shock value / attention grabbing
    Bold, controversial statements attract clicks, shares, comments.
  2. Algorithm shifts
    When Google changes how it ranks results, many sites see fluctuations. Some react by claiming the old system is dead.
  3. Emergence of new tech
    With AI, large language models, and “zero-click” search (when answers appear directly in SERPs), some believe traditional SEO loses relevance. (alitu.com)
  4. Lazy interpretation or fear
    It’s easier to declare “death” than to grapple with complexity, adapt, retrain, iterate.

The “Oil Will Run Out in 5 Years” Sensation: A Cautionary Tale

The phrase “oil will run out in 5 years” is a dramatic, misleading version of the so-called “peak oil” idea. Historically, several alarmist forecasts claimed imminent exhaustion of oil reserves, but these often failed to account for:

  • New discoveries
  • Technological advances (fracking, deepwater drilling)
  • Shifts in demand (renewables, energy efficiency)

In short, geology, technology, and economics are dynamic. Thus, simplistic, fixed-horizon claims are prone to error. Wikipedia’s “Peak oil” entry records how many predictions were revised or discarded as new evidence emerged. (Wikipedia)

Some voices, such as energy analyst Leonardo Maugeri, argued strongly that the world is far from running out of oil. (Wikipedia)

Thus, the “oil runs out soon” narrative turned into a genre of hype, fear, and overstatement — rather than a reliable guide.

What’s Really Changing (and What’s Staying)

Declaring SEO dead ignores real transformations happening now. Here are key dynamics to understand:

What’s Changing

  1. Search behavior and zero-click results
    Google increasingly shows answers directly in its search interface, reducing the need to click through. (alitu.com)
  2. AI and large language models
    As ChatGPT and similar models become integrated with search, the role of “organic ranking” may shift. (alitu.com)
  3. Higher standards
    Search engines keep tightening policies against spam, low-quality content, and manipulative SEO practices (e.g. parasite SEO). (The Verge)
  4. Greater importance of E-A-T and authority
    Expertise, authority, and trustworthiness (E-A-T) matter more than just keywords. Quality content wins.

What Persists

  • People will still use search engines to find information, products, and services.
  • Content that answers user needs — clearly, helpfully, reliably — still gets traction.
  • Ranking factors (on-page optimization, links, user experience) will remain relevant, though their weights may shift.
  • SEO won’t vanish; it will evolve.

How to Respond — Rather Than Panic

If you see “SEO is dead” headlines, don’t panic — take a measured approach:

  1. Reject absolutes
    Instead of “dead” vs “alive,” think in terms of adaptation and evolution.
  2. Audit your SEO foundations
    Focus on content quality, site performance, mobile usability, and semantic relevance.
  3. Embrace hybrid strategies
    Combine SEO with broader content marketing, brand building, and distribution channels (social, newsletters, podcasts).
  4. Monitor new signals
    Watch how AI, voice search, structured data, and on-platform answers develop.
  5. Invest in authority
    Build trust, links from reputable sources, expert credentials. Those aren’t easily replaced

Conclusion

The claim “SEO is dead” is a modern marketing myth — a sensational headline built to provoke rather than instruct. It mirrors past doomsday narratives like “oil will run out in 5 years,” which also collapsed under deeper analysis and evolving reality.

SEO isn’t dead. It’s shifting and becoming more demanding. If you treat SEO as a flexible discipline — not a static checklist — you can survive and thrive in whatever the future brings.

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